SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 51.63% | 24.16% | 24.21% |
| Both teams to score 53.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.06% | 47.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.88% | 70.12% |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% | 18.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.18% | 49.82% |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% | 34.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.16% | 70.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.81% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.21% |
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