SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Sparta Prague |
| 60.29% | 23.05% | 16.66% |
| Both teams to score 45.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.29% | 52.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% | 74.35% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% | 17.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.65% | 47.35% |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.12% | 44.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.16% | 80.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Sparta Prague |
| 1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.28% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.66% |
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