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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 1
Sparta Prague

Yilmaz (80', 84')
Bradaric (50'), Andre (57'), Botman (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Krejci (71')
Dockal (51'), Krejci (55'), Celustka (62'), Krejci (86')
Celustka (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawSparta Prague
60.29%23.05%16.66%
Both teams to score 45.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29%52.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65%74.35%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87%17.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.65%47.35%
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.12%44.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.16%80.84%
Score Analysis
    Lille 60.28%
    Sparta Prague 16.66%
    Draw 23.05%
LilleDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 13.56%
2-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 9.59%
3-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5.64%
4-0 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 1.1%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.28%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.16%
1-2 @ 4.35%
0-2 @ 2.47%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.66%

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