Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
