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L
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
ML

Lille
1 - 1
AC Milan

Bamba (65')
Pied (12'), Xeka (28'), Soumare (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castillejo (46')
Bennacer (45+1'), Diaz (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Lille had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawAC Milan
37.22%25.42%37.36%
Both teams to score 56.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2%69.8%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96%25.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29%59.7%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04%24.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4%59.6%
Score Analysis
    Lille 37.22%
    AC Milan 37.36%
    Draw 25.42%
LilleDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 6.02%
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 0.97%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.36%


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