Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Lille had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.