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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Anfield
T

Liverpool
5 - 1
Toulouse

Jota (9'), Endo (30'), Nunez (34'), Gravenberch (65'), Salah (90+3')
Elliott (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dallinga (16')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 3-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawToulouse
64.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.42%16.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 62.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.83% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.77%9.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 64.59%
    Toulouse 16.99%
    Draw 18.42%
LiverpoolDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.92%
3-0 @ 6.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 4.37%
4-0 @ 3.91%
4-2 @ 2.61%
5-1 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 1.86%
5-2 @ 1.24%
4-3 @ 1%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 64.59%
1-1 @ 8%
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 2.91%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.42%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-1 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 16.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Union SG
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Liverpool
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Leicester
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Reims
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-0 LASK
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Toulouse 3-0 Metz
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Toulouse
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Toulouse
Thursday, September 21 at 5.55pm in Europa League


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