SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Leicester City |
53.45% ( -0.85) | 21.16% ( 0.18) | 25.39% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 65.5% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.11% ( -0.16) | 32.89% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.41% ( -0.18) | 54.59% ( 0.19) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( -0.3) | 12.56% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.37% ( -0.63) | 38.63% ( 0.63) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.41) | 25.09% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.22% ( 0.56) | 59.78% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.39% |
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