Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.