SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
54.74% ( 0.14) | 23.25% ( -0.08) | 22.01% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% ( 0.27) | 46.33% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( 0.25) | 68.62% ( -0.25) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0.15) | 16.81% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.22% ( 0.26) | 46.78% ( -0.26) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( 0.09) | 35.25% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% ( 0.09) | 72.01% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.73% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.01% |
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