SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Bournemouth |
63.46% ( -0.03) | 19.66% ( -0.01) | 16.87% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.25% ( 0.14) | 37.74% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.01% ( 0.15) | 59.99% ( -0.15) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.69% ( 0.03) | 11.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.03% ( 0.07) | 35.96% ( -0.08) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% ( 0.13) | 35.61% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.62% ( 0.14) | 72.38% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.35% Total : 63.46% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 16.87% |
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