SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
40.93% ( 0.01) | 23.76% ( 0) | 35.31% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.11% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.08% ( -0.01) | 39.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.71% ( -0.01) | 62.28% ( 0.01) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% | 19.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.13% | 51.87% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( -0.01) | 22.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( -0.02) | 56.13% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.15% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
