SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln Red Imps win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
37.46% ( 0.03) | 23.91% ( -0) | 38.62% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.57% ( 0.01) | 40.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.19% ( 0.01) | 62.81% ( -0.01) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( 0.02) | 21.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.19% ( 0.03) | 54.8% ( -0.04) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -0.02) | 21.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( -0.02) | 53.92% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 38.62% |
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