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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
NEF Stadyumu
NO

Galatasaray
1 - 0
Ljubljana

Icardi (24')
Boey (29')
Torreira (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Posavec (7'), Sualehe (31')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kayserispor 0-0 Galatasaray
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Domzale
Saturday, August 12 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

We said: Galatasaray 2-0 NK Olimpija Ljubljana (Galatasaray win 5-0 on aggregate)

Such is the depth of an expensively assembled squad, Galatasaray can even afford to rotate their resources on Tuesday and still progress comfortably. Olimpija cannot compete with their hosts' impressive firepower, so will have to settle for a place in the Europa League playoffs as Gala march on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
65.51% (0.012 0.01) 18.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 15.94% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.81% (0.021999999999991 0.02)34.19% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)56.08% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21% (0.010000000000005 0.01)9.78% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)32.53% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)34.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.21% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 65.51%
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 15.94%
    Draw 18.55%
GalatasarayDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 65.51%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.55%
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 15.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-0 Galatasaray
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-3 Galatasaray
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Zalgiris
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-2 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 25 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 18 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Austria Vienna 1-1 Galatasaray
Friday, July 14 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Domzale
Saturday, August 12 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-3 Galatasaray
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ljubljana 5-0 Rogaska
Saturday, July 29 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-1 Ljubljana
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Koper 2-1 Ljubljana
Saturday, July 22 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga


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