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Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RS

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Real Sociedad

Nkunku (30'), Forsberg (82' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Le Normand (8'), Oyarzabal (64' pen.)

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Real Sociedad

Both teams have shown some good form recently, though the away side suffered a disappointing 4-0 exit from the Copa del Rey. With five wins from their previous six games and home advantage on their side, we are backing Leipzig to come away with a narrow victory to take into the crucial second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawReal Sociedad
46.8%26.36%26.84%
Both teams to score 49.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27%54.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95%76.04%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63%23.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.66%57.34%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4%35.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63%72.37%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 46.79%
    Real Sociedad 26.84%
    Draw 26.36%
RB LeipzigDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 8.79%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.79%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.59%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2%
Total : 26.84%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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