Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
