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Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
AM

Real Sociedad
2 - 0
Atletico

Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico are struggling to find their best form at the moment, and Real Sociedad will have had much longer to prepare for this contest; we are expecting it to be a tight match on Wednesday night but are backing the home side to emerge victorious within 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
36.67%26.45%36.88%
Both teams to score 52.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92%52.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19%73.8%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55%27.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07%62.93%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68%27.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23%62.77%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 36.67%
    Atletico Madrid 36.88%
    Draw 26.44%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 9.73%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.88%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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