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Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
LL

Real Sociedad
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Zubimendi (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Orban (39'), Silva (59'), Forsberg (89' pen.)
Silva (63'), Orban (72'), Kampl (85')

We said: Real Sociedad 1-3 RB Leipzig (Leipzig win 5-3 on aggregate)

Leipzig have been in free-scoring mode all season long, and that is unlikely to change against a Sociedad side whom they already have goalscoring experience against and who were humbled by Athletic at the weekend. With nearly a fully-fit squad to select from and morale at its highest point, we cannot see any other result than a safe passage into the last-16 stage for Tedesco's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawRB Leipzig
42.58%28.14%29.28%
Both teams to score 45.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.03%59.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.78%80.22%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.47%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52%36.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73%73.27%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 42.58%
    RB Leipzig 29.28%
    Draw 28.13%
Real SociedadDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-1 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.28%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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