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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Anoeta

Real Sociedad
2 - 2
Rijeka

Bautista (69'), Monreal (79')
Merino (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Velkovski (38'), Loncar (73')
Andrijasevic (41'), Halilovic (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawHNK Rijeka
64.34%21.96%13.7%
Both teams to score 42.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41%53.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9%75.09%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95%16.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58%45.41%
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.42%49.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.63%84.37%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 64.32%
    HNK Rijeka 13.7%
    Draw 21.95%
Real SociedadDrawHNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 14.55%
2-0 @ 13.31%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 5.7%
4-0 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2%
5-0 @ 1.36%
5-1 @ 0.95%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 64.32%
1-1 @ 10.21%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 3.28%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.95%
0-1 @ 5.58%
1-2 @ 3.58%
0-2 @ 1.96%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 13.7%

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