Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.