MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 17:46:04
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Thursday, March 28
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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 5, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
NL

Rijeka
1 - 2
Napoli

Muric (13')
Smolcic (30'), Braut (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Demme (43'), Braut (62' og.)
Politano (22'), Koulibaly (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawNapoli
22.1%24.76%53.14%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61%52.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92%74.08%
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.43%38.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68%75.32%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32%19.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32%51.68%
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 22.1%
    Napoli 53.13%
    Draw 24.76%
HNK RijekaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-1 @ 5.6%
2-0 @ 3.45%
3-1 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.45%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.1%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 12.34%
0-2 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-3 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 5.18%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 2.1%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 53.13%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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