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NL
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
2 - 0
Rijeka

Anastasio (41' og.), Lozano (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Anastasio (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawHNK Rijeka
66.93%19.73%13.35%
Both teams to score 47.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62%45.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29%67.71%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38%12.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.25%38.74%
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.92%45.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19%81%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 66.91%
    HNK Rijeka 13.35%
    Draw 19.73%
NapoliDrawHNK Rijeka
2-0 @ 12.18%
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 6.7%
4-0 @ 4.35%
4-1 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.67%
5-0 @ 1.8%
5-1 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 66.91%
1-1 @ 9.38%
0-0 @ 5.69%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 19.73%
0-1 @ 4.53%
1-2 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.03%
1-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 13.35%


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