Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.