SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
59.53% ( -0.03) | 22.28% ( -0.03) | 18.18% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( 0.18) | 47.29% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( 0.17) | 69.51% ( -0.17) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( 0.05) | 15.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.6% ( 0.1) | 44.4% ( -0.1) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% ( 0.17) | 39.8% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.53% ( 0.15) | 76.47% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.53% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.18% |
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