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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj

Dynamo Kiev
0 - 1
Larnaca


Andrievsky (35'), Sydorchuk (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyurcso (8')
Angel (42'), Mamas (44'), Pons (63'), Piric (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Lviv
Sunday, September 11 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-2 Rennes
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 AEK Larnaca

Both sides lost narrowly on matchday one, and we believe they will be involved in a closely-fought contest, which we think could result in a draw with both sides looking to avoid beginning the group stage with consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawAEK Larnaca
41.49% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 32.75% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)49.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)71.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (-0.012 -0.01)57.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)28.69% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)64.51% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 41.49%
    AEK Larnaca 32.75%
    Draw 25.75%
Dynamo KievDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Lviv
Sunday, September 11 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Luhansk 3-2 Dynamo Kiev
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-3 Dnipro-1
Sunday, August 28 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-2 Rennes
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Larnaca 3-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, August 25 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-2 Larnaca
Thursday, August 18 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Partizan 2-2 Larnaca
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Larnaca 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, August 4 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-1 Midtjylland (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 26 at 4.30pm in Champions League


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