SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Clermont | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Monaco | 6 | -3 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Troyes | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Nantes | 6 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 77.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 8.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Auxerre |
77.82% ( -0.03) | 14.13% ( -0.01) | 8.05% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.39% ( 0.16) | 34.61% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.45% ( 0.18) | 56.55% ( -0.18) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.8% ( 0.03) | 7.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.88% ( 0.08) | 26.12% ( -0.08) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.05% ( 0.19) | 47.95% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.81% ( 0.14) | 83.19% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 77.81% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 14.13% | 0-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 8.05% |
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