SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Zorya Luhansk | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Dynamo Kiev | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rukh Lviv | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
43.26% ( -2.37) | 25.2% ( 0.33) | 31.54% ( 2.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.54) | 47.66% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( -0.5) | 69.86% ( 0.5) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( -1.3) | 22% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.69% ( -2) | 55.31% ( 2) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( 1.11) | 28.48% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% ( 1.37) | 64.25% ( -1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.54% |
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