A Larnaca side who have already demonstrated a prolific streak against European opposition should experience some joy in front of goal here, with Rennes likely to rotate and struggling to keep things tight at the back.
Working without Doku or Gouiri is not what the doctor ordered for Genesio either, but Les Rouge et Noir still possess the attacking nous necessary to get the job done on Thursday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
-0.15) 
0.03) 
