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Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Ortaliq Stadion

Tobol
1 - 0
Ruzomberok

El Messaoudi (8')
Henen (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maly (76'), Tucny (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ruzomberok 5-2 Tobol
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ruzomberok 5-2 Tobol
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League

We said: Tobol 2-2 MFK Ruzomberok (MFK Ruzomberok win 7-4 on aggregate)

Tobol are likely to be on the offensive in this game as they aim to overturn a three-goal deficit, and after an action-packed first leg, we expect this one to follow a similar trend with plenty of goals, with Ruzomberok ultimately advancing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for MFK Ruzomberok had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest MFK Ruzomberok win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tobol in this match.

Result
TobolDrawMFK Ruzomberok
38.23% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 25.88% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 35.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)49.69% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.023 -0.02)71.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)25.44% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)60.27% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
MFK Ruzomberok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Tobol 38.23%
    MFK Ruzomberok 35.88%
    Draw 25.88%
TobolDrawMFK Ruzomberok
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.23%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ruzomberok 5-2 Tobol
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Plzen 3-0 Tobol
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 1-2 Plzen
Thursday, August 24 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Derry 1-0 Tobol (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 1-0 Derry
Thursday, August 10 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 1-2 Basel
Thursday, August 3 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ruzomberok 5-2 Tobol
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 5-1 Ruzomberok
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Ruzomberok 1-1 Zilina
Saturday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-0 Ruzomberok
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Ruzomberok 3-2 Podbrezova
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Dunajska Streda 0-0 Ruzomberok
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League


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