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Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Futbalovy stadion MFK Ruzomberok

Ruzomberok
5 - 2
Tobol

Gabriel (11', 88'), Selecky (40'), Maly (45+3'), Madlenak (77')
Gabriel (56'), Selecky (66'), Luteran (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Ivanovic (9'), Henen (45')
Chesnokov (33'), Gabaraev (47'), Shakhov (64'), Alioune N'Diaye (90+1'), Miladinovic (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 5-1 Ruzomberok
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Plzen 3-0 Tobol
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Banska Bystrica0nan
2Dunajska Streda0nan
3FK Kosice0nan
4Komarno0nan
5Ruzomberok0nan
6Podbrezova0nan
7Skalica0nan
8Slovan Bratislava0nan
9Spartak Trnava0nan
10Trencin0nan
11Michalovce0nan
12Zilina0nan

We said: MFK Ruzomberok 2-2 Tobol

Tobol proved in last season's Europa League qualifying that they can compete on the European stage, and we think that they will do enough to hold Ruzomberok to a draw, which would represent a positive result ahead of the second leg on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Ruzomberok win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Ruzomberok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Tobol win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MFK Ruzomberok would win this match.

Result
MFK RuzomberokDrawTobol
43.62% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07) 26.76% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 29.62% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.93% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (0.073999999999998 0.07)54.83% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (0.061 0.06)76.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
MFK Ruzomberok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05%24.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.59%
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.097999999999999 0.1)33.47% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.107 0.11)70.11% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    MFK Ruzomberok 43.61%
    Tobol 29.62%
    Draw 26.76%
MFK RuzomberokDrawTobol
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 5-1 Ruzomberok
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Ruzomberok 1-1 Zilina
Saturday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-0 Ruzomberok
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Ruzomberok 3-2 Podbrezova
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Dunajska Streda 0-0 Ruzomberok
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Zilina 0-0 Ruzomberok
Friday, April 12 at 4.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Plzen 3-0 Tobol
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 1-2 Plzen
Thursday, August 24 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Derry 1-0 Tobol (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 1-0 Derry
Thursday, August 10 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 1-2 Basel
Thursday, August 3 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Tobol
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League


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