SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Nice |
42.35% ( -0.36) | 25.41% ( -0.02) | 32.23% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( 0.21) | 48.36% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( 0.2) | 70.5% ( -0.19) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( -0.08) | 22.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( -0.12) | 56.41% ( 0.12) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.36) | 28.37% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( 0.44) | 64.11% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.35% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.23% |
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