SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Union SG |
30.42% ( -0.27) | 25.31% ( 0) | 44.27% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.14) | 48.61% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.27% ( -0.13) | 70.73% ( 0.13) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( -0.26) | 29.7% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( -0.31) | 65.76% ( 0.31) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( 0.06) | 21.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( 0.09) | 55.22% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.27% |
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