Lazio will soar highest in a battle between Les Aiglons and Le Aquile, as they have home advantage and Nice are burdened by injuries. Following Ciro Immobile's departure, the Italian side have refreshed their attacking options for this season and are now scoring at a regular rate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Nice
41.5% ( -2.11)	26.38% ( 0.4)	32.12% ( 1.71)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53% (

-1.04)

52.46% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86% (

-0.9)

74.14% (

0.9)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

-1.51)

24.97% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

-2.14)

59.61% (

2.15)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

0.65)

30.49% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

0.76)

66.71% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Lazio 41.5%

Nice 32.12%

Draw 26.37%

Lazio	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.5%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.12%