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Europa League | Round of 16
Mar 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)
A

Young Boys
0 - 2
Ajax


Camara (38'), Nsame (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Neres (21'), Tadic (49' pen.)
Rensch (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 37.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.99%) and 0-1 (4.71%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Young BoysDrawAjax
37.89%21.65%40.46%
Both teams to score 70.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.16%28.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.22%49.77%
Young Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62%16.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99%46.01%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64%15.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86%44.13%
Score Analysis
    Young Boys 37.89%
    Ajax 40.46%
    Draw 21.65%
Young BoysDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 4.65%
1-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 4.36%
2-0 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.97%
4-3 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 37.89%
1-1 @ 8.53%
2-2 @ 7.23%
3-3 @ 2.72%
0-0 @ 2.52%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 4.99%
0-1 @ 4.71%
2-3 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 4.41%
0-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 2.11%
0-4 @ 1.29%
3-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 40.46%

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