SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Faroe Islands |
55.77% ( 0.07) | 25.22% ( -0.02) | 19.01% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.61% ( 0.01) | 57.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% ( 0.01) | 78.21% ( -0.01) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( 0.03) | 20.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( 0.05) | 53.14% ( -0.06) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.24% ( -0.05) | 44.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.26% ( -0.04) | 80.74% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 55.76% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.01% |
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