SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Poland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Moldova | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Germany |
16.74% ( -0.29) | 21.65% ( 0.02) | 61.6% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.03% ( -0.59) | 46.97% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( -0.56) | 69.21% ( 0.56) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.66% ( -0.72) | 41.34% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.14% ( -0.64) | 77.86% ( 0.64) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( -0.11) | 14.72% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.07% ( -0.21) | 42.93% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Germany |
| 1-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.74% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.65% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 11.17% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 61.6% |
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