SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Georgia |
68.31% ( -0.25) | 19.39% ( 0.09) | 12.3% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.06% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% ( -0.01) | 46.32% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( -0.01) | 68.61% ( 0) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( -0.08) | 12.51% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.48% ( -0.16) | 38.51% ( 0.15) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.65% ( 0.26) | 47.35% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.25% ( 0.19) | 82.75% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norway | Draw | Georgia |
| 2-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 68.3% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.39% | 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 12.3% |
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