Following an underwhelming start to 2023, the pressure is on the Netherlands to find their form and come out on top in what, on paper, is considered a favourable-looking fixture at home against Greece. However, considering that the Oranje are missing a few key players and have shown signs of defensive frailties under Koeman, Greece could spring a surprise and claim a hard-fought point in an entertaining contest in Eindhoven to shake up Group B. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Greece had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Greece
42.12% ( -1.63)	26.73% ( 0.3)	31.15% ( 1.33)

Both teams to score 50.71% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.85% (

-0.71)

54.16% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43% (

-0.6)

75.57% (

0.6)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-1.14)

25.41% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-1.59)

60.22% (

1.59)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

0.59)

32.02% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

0.66)

68.49% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 42.12%

Greece 31.15%

Draw 26.72%

Netherlands	Draw	Greece
1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.12%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.15%