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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
GN
Netherlands
3 - 0
Greece
de Roon (17'), Gakpo (31'), Weghorst (39')
Ake (43'), van Dijk (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Siopis (11'), Tsimikas (44'), Kourbelis (68'), Mantalos (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Italy
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Nations League
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Netherlands 2-2 Greece

Following an underwhelming start to 2023, the pressure is on the Netherlands to find their form and come out on top in what, on paper, is considered a favourable-looking fixture at home against Greece. However, considering that the Oranje are missing a few key players and have shown signs of defensive frailties under Koeman, Greece could spring a surprise and claim a hard-fought point in an entertaining contest in Eindhoven to shake up Group B. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Greece had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawGreece
42.12% (-1.631 -1.63) 26.73% (0.304 0.3) 31.15% (1.328 1.33)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (-0.708 -0.71)54.16% (0.71 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.596 -0.6)75.57% (0.59699999999999 0.6)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-1.14 -1.14)25.41% (1.144 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-1.588 -1.59)60.22% (1.592 1.59)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.587 0.59)32.02% (-0.586 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.664 0.66)68.49% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 42.12%
    Greece 31.15%
    Draw 26.72%
NetherlandsDrawGreece
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.12%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.223 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.398 0.4)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.192 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.307 0.31)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Italy
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 2-4 Croatia
Wednesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 4-0 Netherlands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 3-1 USA
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 0-0 Lithuania
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Greece
Sunday, November 20 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 2-2 Greece
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

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