SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | Spain |
32.95% ( 0.01) | 27.8% ( -0.01) | 39.25% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% ( 0.03) | 57.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% ( 0.02) | 78.51% ( -0.02) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( 0.02) | 32.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( 0.02) | 69.16% ( -0.02) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( 0.02) | 28.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.51% ( 0.02) | 64.49% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.95% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.25% |
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