This has the potential to be a tricky match for Spain, and we are expecting Georgia to cause some problems during the course of the match. La Roja will be able to call upon the greater talent all across the pitch, though, and we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
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