SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Romania | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Israel | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Andorra | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 6 | Belarus | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Andorra |
64.31% ( 0.27) | 21.21% ( -0.03) | 14.48% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( -0.38) | 49.23% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( -0.34) | 71.29% ( 0.33) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% ( -0.04) | 14.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.29% ( -0.07) | 42.7% ( 0.07) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.59) | 45.76% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.46% ( -0.46) | 81.53% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kosovo | Draw | Andorra |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 64.29% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.27% Total : 14.48% |
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