SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 2 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Romania | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Kosovo | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Andorra | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 5 | Israel | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 6 | Belarus | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Romania had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Romania |
37.17% ( 0.97) | 28.03% ( 0.17) | 34.81% ( -1.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.66% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.6% ( -0.67) | 58.41% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% ( -0.52) | 79.01% ( 0.53) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( 0.27) | 30.22% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.62% ( 0.32) | 66.38% ( -0.31) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( -1.06) | 31.71% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% ( -1.24) | 68.13% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kosovo | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.8% |
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