SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 2 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Romania | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Kosovo | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Andorra | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 5 | Israel | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 6 | Belarus | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 2 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Romania | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Kosovo | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Andorra | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 5 | Israel | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 6 | Belarus | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.59%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | Switzerland |
12.56% ( -0.01) | 19.75% ( -0.01) | 67.69% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.67% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( 0.02) | 47.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( 0.03) | 69.49% ( -0.03) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.47% ( -0) | 47.52% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.12% | 82.88% ( -0) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.02% ( 0.01) | 12.97% ( -0.02) |
