SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 24 | 18 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 4 | Iceland | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 6 | -18 | 0 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 24 | 18 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 4 | Iceland | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 6 | -18 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Slovakia |
56.93% ( -1.56) | 24.28% ( 0.56) | 18.78% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 46% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% ( -0.73) | 54.34% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% ( -0.62) | 75.73% ( 0.62) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( -0.86) | 18.96% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( -1.45) | 50.48% ( 1.45) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.76% ( 0.77) | 43.23% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.51% ( 0.64) | 79.49% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.98% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
