SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 10 | 6 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Iceland | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Luxembourg | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 2 | -11 | 0 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 10 | 6 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Iceland | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Luxembourg | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 2 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Slovakia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Slovakia |
17.97% ( -0.7) | 22.51% ( -0.54) | 59.52% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.44% ( 1.18) | 48.56% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( 1.07) | 70.68% ( -1.07) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.2% ( -0.12) | 40.8% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.62% ( -0.11) | 77.38% ( 0.11) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( 0.84) | 15.94% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.79% ( 1.52) | 45.21% ( -1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iceland | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.97% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 10.96% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 6.71% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.13% Total : 59.51% |
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