Although Luxembourg have clearly dramatically improved during Holtz's lengthy spell in charge of his home nation, they are still someway short of being able to consistently challenge against teams of Portugal's calibre.
Martinez's secondary aim from the trip to Luxembourg City may be keeping another clean sheet, and we can envisage a tighter victory than many may expect as a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.86%) and 0-3 (12.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
-0.08) 
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