Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 2 | 10 | 6 |
2 | Slovakia | 2 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Iceland | 2 | 4 | 3 |
4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Luxembourg | 2 | -6 | 1 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 2 | -11 | 0 |
Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 2 | 10 | 6 |
2 | Slovakia | 2 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Iceland | 2 | 4 | 3 |
4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Luxembourg | 2 | -6 | 1 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 2 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result | ||
Portugal | Draw | Bosnia-Herzegovina |
71.04% ( 3.47) | 17.73% ( -1.4) | 11.23% ( -2.06) |
Both teams to score 48.11% ( -1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( 1.15) | 41.71% ( -1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.88% ( 1.15) | 64.12% ( -1.15) |
Portugal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.52% ( 1.23) | 10.48% ( -1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.89% ( 2.71) | 34.11% ( -2.7) |
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.74% ( -2.67) | 46.26% ( 2.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.08% ( -2.14) | 81.92% ( 2.14) |
Score Analysis |
Portugal | Draw | Bosnia-Herzegovina |
2-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.6) 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.88) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.73) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.43) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 71.03% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.38) Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.73% | 0-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.87% Total : 11.23% |
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