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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
BA

Portugal
3 - 0
Bosnia H'vina

Silva (44'), Fernandes (77', 90+3')
Pereira (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pjanic (41'), Tahirovic (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-6 Portugal
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Slovakia 2-0 Bosnia H'vina
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Portugal 2-0 Bosnia-Herzegovina

Portugal are undoubtedly the favourites to top this section, and we are expecting them to be too strong for Bosnia-Herzegovina on Saturday night. Head coach Martinez can call upon so much quality all across the field, and we are backing a two-goal home success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
71.04% (3.468 3.47) 17.73% (-1.404 -1.4) 11.23% (-2.062 -2.06)
Both teams to score 48.11% (-1.697 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (1.153 1.15)41.71% (-1.149 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88% (1.152 1.15)64.12% (-1.149 -1.15)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (1.23 1.23)10.48% (-1.228 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (2.706 2.71)34.11% (-2.703 -2.7)
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.74% (-2.671 -2.67)46.26% (2.673 2.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.08% (-2.139 -2.14)81.92% (2.142 2.14)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 71.03%
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 11.23%
    Draw 17.73%
PortugalDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
2-0 @ 12.33% (0.6 0.6)
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-0 @ 9.27% (0.881 0.88)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.179 0.18)
4-0 @ 5.23% (0.73 0.73)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.139 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.36% (0.429 0.43)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.216 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 71.03%
1-1 @ 8.43% (-0.66 -0.66)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.383 -0.38)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.73%
0-1 @ 3.74% (-0.5 -0.5)
1-2 @ 3.25% (-0.525 -0.53)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.179 -0.18)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 11.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-6 Portugal
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Portugal
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 6-1 Switzerland
Tuesday, December 6 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: South Korea 2-1 Portugal
Friday, December 2 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Uruguay
Monday, November 28 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Slovakia 2-0 Bosnia H'vina
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 3-0 Iceland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Romania 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Montenegro
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 3-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 1-1 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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