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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
LN

Portugal
4 - 0
Liechtenstein

Cancelo (8'), Silva (47'), Ronaldo (51' pen., 63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Portugal
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-0 Liechtenstein
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Portugal 7-0 Liechtenstein

In a clash between top and bottom seeds in Group J, this appears to be a complete mismatch on paper. Liechtenstein will just try to keep the score down in a fixture which will almost certainly have one winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 99.33%. A draw had a probability of 0.6% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 5-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (16%) and 6-0 (14.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.52%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (0.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawLiechtenstein
99.33% (0.0040000000000049 0) 0.64% (-0.003 -0) 0.02% (-0.0011 -0)
Both teams to score 4.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
89.62% (0.031000000000006 0.03)10.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
77.07% (0.055999999999997 0.06)22.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)0.54% (-0.003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
96.65% (0.012 0.01)3.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
4.25% (-0.015 -0.01)95.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.09%99.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 99.31%
    Liechtenstein 0.03%
    Draw 0.64%
PortugalDrawLiechtenstein
5-0 @ 16.72%
4-0 @ 16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
6-0 @ 14.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 12.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
7-0 @ 10.87% (0.02 0.02)
8-0 @ 7.1% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
9-0 @ 4.13% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
10-0 @ 2.16% (0.01 0.01)
11-0 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 99.31%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 0.64%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 0.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Portugal
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 6-1 Switzerland
Tuesday, December 6 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: South Korea 2-1 Portugal
Friday, December 2 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Uruguay
Monday, November 28 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 3-2 Ghana
Thursday, November 24 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 17 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-0 Liechtenstein
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Liechtenstein
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Andorra
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Latvia
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Andorra 2-1 Liechtenstein
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, June 6 at 5pm in Nations League


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