Despite Luxembourg enjoying arguably the greatest period of their history as a footballing nation, they still head to Trnava 38 places below their forthcoming opponents in FIFA's World Rankings.
However, Slovakia lack goal threat and have struggled to win matches of late, so we can envisage a share of the spoils as both teams look to build towards snatching second spot in the group.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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