SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Romania | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Israel | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Belarus | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 6 | Andorra | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Israel had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Israel win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Romania | Draw | Israel |
49.77% ( -3.56) | 25.6% ( 0.54) | 24.63% ( 3.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( 1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( 0.66) | 53.35% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% ( 0.55) | 74.89% ( -0.56) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( -1.22) | 21.46% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.51% ( -1.91) | 54.48% ( 1.9) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( 3.23) | 36.74% ( -3.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.47% ( 3.09) | 73.53% ( -3.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Romania | Draw | Israel |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.79) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.98)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.71)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.76% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.34)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.55)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.28)Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.63% |
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