SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Romania in this match.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | Romania |
12.18% ( -0.07) | 18.64% ( -0.04) | 69.18% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.13% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% ( 0) | 43.35% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% ( 0) | 65.75% ( 0.01) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.33% ( -0.11) | 45.67% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.54% ( -0.09) | 81.47% ( 0.09) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% ( 0.03) | 11.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.82% ( 0.06) | 36.18% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Andorra | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.19% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.64% | 0-2 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.88% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.96% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.64% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 69.17% |
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