SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Romania | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Israel | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Andorra | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 6 | Belarus | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Israel in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Israel.
| Result | ||
| Israel | Draw | Andorra |
43.93% ( -19.2) | 21.71% ( 0.52) | 34.36% ( 18.68) |
| Both teams to score 69.78% ( 20.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.16% ( 17.02) | 29.83% ( -17.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.01% ( 18.11) | 50.99% ( -18.11) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.5% ( -0.29) | 14.5% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.5% ( -0.57) | 42.49% ( 0.57) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( 24.26) | 18.38% ( -24.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.48% ( 29.47) | 49.52% ( -29.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Israel | Draw | Andorra |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -1.42) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.98)1-0 @ 5.15% ( -6.66)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -6.56)3-2 @ 4.59% ( 1.86)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -4.3)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.51)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.89)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -2.12)4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.87)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -1.35) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 2.94)0-0 @ 2.66% ( -3.39)3-3 @ 2.59% ( 1.82)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 3.09) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2.95)2-3 @ 4.03% ( 2.83)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1.62)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1.53)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.51)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.45)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.93)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.78)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36% |
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