Both teams will be without a number of key players for the clash, but we expect a keenly-contested affair nonetheless. We are also tipping Israel to carry the day in the end, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.
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