SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Austria had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Turkey |
35.83% ( 0.83) | 25.49% ( 0.12) | 38.68% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 55.94% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( -0.44) | 47.97% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( -0.41) | 70.14% ( 0.41) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.01% ( 0.27) | 25.99% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.99% ( 0.37) | 61.01% ( -0.37) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0.7) | 24.42% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% ( -0.99) | 58.84% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.68% |
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