Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Arena Nationala

Romania
1 - 1
N. Ireland

Man (23')
Burca (21'), Puscas (76'), Sorescu (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Reid (7')
O'Neill (22'), Hazard (44'), McNair (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Romania and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 1-0 Switzerland
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Northern Ireland

All competitions

Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Denmark
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

We said: Romania 3-1 Northern Ireland

With both teams expected to name their strongest sides for this contest, this could prove to be a tough ask for the visitors. While we envisage them having their moments and potentially getting on the scoresheet, it would be a surprise if Romania did not come through with a convincing win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Romania	Draw	Northern Ireland
58.84% ( -0.29)	23.98% ( 0.13)	17.19% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 44.13% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.65% (

-0.25)

55.35% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.44% (

-0.2)

76.56% (

0.21)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.38% (

-0.2)

18.62% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.08% (

-0.34)

49.92% (

0.34)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.23% (

0.06)

45.77% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.46% (

0.04)

81.54% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Romania 58.83%

Northern Ireland 17.19%

Draw 23.97%

Romania	Draw	Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 58.83%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 17.19%