Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Russia had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Russia win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
